Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#109
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#72
Pace67.8#161
Improvement-3.2#303

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#85
Improvement-1.5#233

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#152
Improvement-1.7#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 202   South Alabama L 71-76 81%     0 - 1 -10.1 -7.3 -2.4
  Nov 12, 2012 179   Buffalo W 95-68 78%     1 - 1 +23.1 +12.9 +8.6
  Nov 16, 2012 62   BYU W 88-70 35%     2 - 1 +26.0 +12.8 +11.9
  Nov 17, 2012 75   Saint Joseph's W 73-66 40%     3 - 1 +13.7 +8.5 +5.7
  Nov 21, 2012 257   North Florida W 75-67 88%     4 - 1 -0.8 -9.7 +8.3
  Nov 27, 2012 27   Minnesota L 68-77 31%     4 - 2 +0.1 +3.6 -4.0
  Dec 02, 2012 138   Mercer L 56-61 71%     4 - 3 -6.5 -14.6 +7.9
  Dec 05, 2012 2   Florida L 47-72 12%     4 - 4 -8.0 -12.7 +2.3
  Dec 09, 2012 263   Maine W 91-59 89%     5 - 4 +22.9 +2.9 +16.0
  Dec 17, 2012 326   Louisiana Monroe W 63-48 95%     6 - 4 -0.3 -15.5 +15.7
  Dec 22, 2012 130   Charlotte W 79-76 56%     7 - 4 +5.4 +4.6 +0.6
  Dec 29, 2012 175   Tulsa W 82-63 67%     8 - 4 +18.5 +6.2 +11.1
  Jan 02, 2013 195   @ Auburn L 72-78 59%     8 - 5 -4.2 -4.6 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2013 111   @ Clemson W 71-66 38%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +12.1 +6.0 +6.3
  Jan 09, 2013 53   @ Maryland W 65-62 21%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +15.7 -2.0 +17.6
  Jan 12, 2013 26   North Carolina L 72-77 31%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +4.3 +8.2 -4.3
  Jan 19, 2013 39   @ Virginia L 36-56 17%     10 - 7 2 - 2 -5.6 -18.0 +7.1
  Jan 24, 2013 111   Clemson W 60-57 63%     11 - 7 3 - 2 +3.7 -5.8 +9.7
  Jan 27, 2013 12   @ Miami (FL) L 47-71 10%     11 - 8 3 - 3 -5.5 -15.6 +9.5
  Jan 30, 2013 53   Maryland W 73-71 42%     12 - 8 4 - 3 +8.2 +9.5 -1.1
  Feb 02, 2013 6   Duke L 60-79 17%     12 - 9 4 - 4 -4.6 -0.2 -7.0
  Feb 05, 2013 102   @ Georgia Tech W 56-54 36%     13 - 9 5 - 4 +9.8 -1.6 +11.7
  Feb 09, 2013 127   @ Wake Forest L 46-71 43%     13 - 10 5 - 5 -19.2 -19.7 -1.0
  Feb 13, 2013 12   Miami (FL) L 68-74 22%     13 - 11 5 - 6 +6.0 +3.0 +2.8
  Feb 16, 2013 93   Boston College W 69-66 59%     14 - 11 6 - 6 +4.8 +7.8 -2.4
  Feb 19, 2013 29   @ North Carolina St. L 66-84 15%     14 - 12 6 - 7 -2.6 -2.3 -0.3
  Feb 24, 2013 160   @ Virginia Tech L 70-80 52%     14 - 13 6 - 8 -6.3 -4.5 -1.7
  Feb 26, 2013 127   Wake Forest W 76-62 68%     15 - 13 7 - 8 +13.3 +8.3 +5.7
  Mar 03, 2013 26   @ North Carolina L 58-79 14%     15 - 14 7 - 9 -5.2 -5.0 -1.4
  Mar 07, 2013 39   Virginia W 53-51 35%     16 - 14 8 - 9 +9.9 +0.5 +9.9
  Mar 09, 2013 29   North Carolina St. W 71-67 32%     17 - 14 9 - 9 +12.9 +6.7 +6.7
  Mar 14, 2013 111   Clemson W 73-69 51%     18 - 14 +7.9 +9.4 -1.3
  Mar 15, 2013 26   North Carolina L 62-83 21%     18 - 15 -8.4 -4.2 -4.8
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.2 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%